COVID-19: What next for travel?

So, here we are, weeks into a lockdown that shows no immediate sign of being lifted. And, for good reason given the apparent success of responsible social distancing and its effect on “flattening the curve”.

It goes without saying, however, that the global journey along this pandemic route is still in its infancy. Of course, some countries are further along with their own particular journey. Whether that’s because of their success in curtailing the outbreak (see South Korea, Taiwan, New Zealand, Germany) or because they simply haven’t got to grips with it early enough (UK, USA).

And then there are the countries that either haven’t reported their true numbers (China, Russia) or those with high density populations that are potential time bombs just waiting to explode (India, Indonesia, Brazil). If, indeed, they haven’t already done so.

The big question everyone wants to know, of course, is when will the restrictions be lifted and when can we expect everything to return to “normal”? Especially for those of us whose lives are intrinsically linked with the freedom to travel.

Well, with my own travel horizons suddenly restricted to just wandering out to the chicken coop to claim another four freshly laid eggs, I thought I’d do some research on what the “experts” are predicting about the industry’s future. And, after throwing in some of my own thoughts for good measure, this is what I’ve determined.

Spoiler alert: It isn’t pretty.

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